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Graphite

Graphite demand is expected to surge over the next decade, fueled by the rapid adoption of electric vehicles, expansion of energy storage systems, and growth in advanced industrial applications. 

Demand for graphite almost quadruples by 2040, according to the IEA’s net-zero emissions scenario.

Investors should prepare for volatility in the graphite market, as prices respond to supply chain risks, China’s dominance in mining and processing, evolving export controls, and the race to build new capacity outside China. 

What is graphite

Graphite is a naturally occurring form of crystalline carbon (atomic number 6), renowned for its unique combination of high thermal stability, electrical conductivity, and lubricating properties1. It appears as a soft, gray to black mineral and is one of only two naturally occurring forms of pure carbon, the other being diamond. Graphite’s structure consists of layers of carbon atoms arranged in a hexagonal lattice, allowing the layers to slide over each other easily—this underpins its use as a lubricant and in pencils.

The name “graphite” derives from the Greek word graphein, meaning “to write,” reflecting its long-standing use in writing materials.

Today, graphite is indispensable for a wide range of industrial and technological applications, including steelmaking, batteries, refractories, lubricants, and emerging clean technologies.

Why graphite matters: strategic applications

Batteries and energy storage

  • graphite is the dominant anode material in lithium-ion batteries, accounting for up to 95% of the anode composition. The rapid growth of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy storage is driving unprecedented demand for both natural and synthetic graphite

  • the battery sector is projected to be the fastest-growing application for graphite, with demand expected to rise by more than 1,400% between 2020 and 2050

Steelmaking

  • in the steel industry, graphite is used as a carbon raiser to adjust carbon content in molten steel and as a lubricant in high-temperature processes

  • the steel sector remains one of the largest consumers of graphite globally

Refractories and foundries

  • graphite’s high thermal resistance makes it essential in refractories for lining furnaces, crucibles, and molds in metal production

  • expanded graphite and graphite foils are used in high-performance gaskets and fire-resistant materials

Lubricants and industrial uses

  • thanks to its layered structure, graphite is an effective dry lubricant for machinery operating under extreme temperatures or conditions

  • it is also used in brake linings, foundry facings, and as a component in advanced composites

Emerging technologies

  • graphite is increasingly used in fuel cells, lightweight composites, and as a precursor for graphene, a material with revolutionary potential in electronics and materials science

Supply and Demand Dynamics

Production concentration

  • China dominates global graphite supply, followed by India and Brazil34. This concentration creates significant supply chain vulnerabilities, especially as geopolitical tensions and export controls intensify

  • the US and EU have classified graphite as a critical raw material and are seeking to diversify sources, including new projects in Kazakhstan and North America

Natural vs. Synthetic Graphite

  • natural graphite is mined, while synthetic graphite is produced from petroleum coke. Synthetic graphite is less exposed to Chinese supply risks but is more energy-intensive to produce

  • both types are essential for battery applications, but natural graphite is currently facing a supply deficit, while synthetic graphite has experienced a temporary oversupply

Market trends

  • the global graphite market is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 9.41% from US$15.90 billion in 2025 to US$24.93 billion by 2030, driven by surging demand in batteries and energy storage

  • by 2050, graphite supply will need to increase nearly 500% to meet clean energy and electrification targets, requiring the development of hundreds of new mines worldwide

Mining and processing

  • graphite is mined using both open-pit and underground methods, then beneficiated through crushing, grinding, flotation, and sometimes acid leaching to achieve high purity

  • after concentration, graphite is classified by flake size and carbon content to suit various industrial needs

  • environmental management is increasingly important, with efforts to minimize air and soil contamination during processing

Graphite’s unique properties and critical role in the global energy transition make it a linchpin for both established industries and emerging technologies. As battery demand surges and supply chain security becomes paramount, graphite’s strategic importance is set to grow sharply in the coming decades.

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