Critical Minerals and Energy Intelligence

US invests $8.6 billion in critical minerals deals since January 2025

Subscribe for Investment Insights. Stay Ahead.

Investment market and industry insights delivered to you in real-time.

[mepr-membership-registration-form id="4595"]

US government investment in equity stakes in private-sector critical minerals companies since January 2025 hit US$8.6 billion, in the biggest such push into strategic industries since the Second World War.

The push is part of a wider US$20.9 billion across sixteen deals involving direct government ownership, as Washington works to lock in critical supply from an industry where private capital has sometimes struggled to deliver secure supply of copper, nickel, cobalt, rare earths, lithium, and more.

In particular, following China’s export controls on rare earths in April and October 2025, the US scaled up its investment in critical minerals companies, which now account for nine of sixteen deals to date, using a range of grants, loans, and tax incentives.

Total USG investment by sector since January 2025 - The Oregon Group - Critical Minerals and Energy Intelligence

The mining deals include:

CompanyDateEquityAgencyAuthorityTools Used
MP MaterialsJul 10, 2025$400 millionDepartment of DefenseDPA Title III, OSCEquity, Loans, Warrants, Offtakes, Price Floors
Lithium AmericasOct 1, 2025Department of EnergyDOE LPO LoanLoans, Warrants
Trilogy MetalsOct 6, 2025$36 millionDepartment of DefenseOSC + DPAEquity, Warrants
ReElement TechnologiesNov 2, 2025Department of DefenseOSC Loan + DPALoans, Warrants
Vulcan ElementsNov 2, 2025$50 millionDepartment of Defense, CommerceCHIPS + OSC LoanEquity, Loans, Warrants, Grants
Korea ZincDec 15, 2025$2.2 billionDepartment of Defense, CommerceOSC, CHIPSEquity, Loans, Warrants, Grants
USA Rare EarthsJan 26, 2026$280 millionDepartment of Commerce, EnergyCHIPSEquity, Loans, Warrants
Atlantic AluminaJan 12, 2026$150 millionDepartment of DefenseIndustrial Base Analysis and Sustainment ProgramEquity
Orion Critical Mineral Consortium (Orion CMC)2026$100 millionDevelopment Finance CorporationDFCEquity, Loan

“Decades of lackadaisical policymaking and oversight have left glaring holes in America’s supply chains and industrial base – vulnerabilities that the Trump administration is committed to using every tool at our disposal to rectify” — said White House spokesman Kush Desai to Bloomberg.

The process started under President Joe Biden (2021-2025), with deals totaling at least US$80million:

  • US$30 million equity investment in TechMet in FY2022
  • US$50 million equity investment tied to Phalaborwa Rare Earths through TechMet/DFC structures

image 2 - The Oregon Group - Critical Minerals and Energy Intelligence

We suspect this cost number is likely only the “tip of the iceberg” once you start including the Trump’s administration’s US$12 billion for the critical minerals stock pile “Project Vault”, and others.

And private co-investors include JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, as well as foreign partners including Emirati sovereign wealth fund and Japan.

On partnerships, the number is easier to undercount than overcount because many are frameworks rather than cash deals. At a minimum, the US has built a sizeable architecture that includes the Minerals Security Partnership, which brings together 14 countries and the EU; the older Energy Resource Governance Initiative launched in 2019; the U.S.-Canada Critical Minerals Action Plan in 2020; the U.S.-Brazil Critical Minerals Working Group in 2020; MINVEST; the U.S.-DRC strategic minerals partnership; and, in February 2026 alone, Reuters reported 11 new bilateral deals plus a trilateral arrangement involving the EU and Japan.  

It is part of an attempt to accelerate a model that turns the US government into financier, equity holder, offtake architect and geopolitical broker. And, after years of the US talking about mineral security, they are now starting to put the money where their mouth is, so to speak.

For mining companies the scale of the investment by the US government helps put a floor in the risk involved in moving ahead with projects.

Subscribe for Investment Insights. Stay Ahead.

Investment market and industry insights delivered to you in real-time.

[mepr-membership-registration-form id="4595"]

Disclaimer

The Oregon Group maintains full editorial control over all content published on this website. While sponsored and advertised placements may be featured, the content remains the sole opinion of The Oregon Group. The author may receive compensation or remuneration for providing content, but all statements and expressions are made independently and are not influenced by sponsors or advertisers. From time to time, The Oregon Group and its directors, officers, partners, employees, authors, or members of their families, as well as persons who are interviewed for articles on this website, may have a long or short position in securities or commodities mentioned and may make purchases and/or sales of those securities or commodities in the open market or otherwise. By accessing and using this website, readers are cautioned to assume that each of the foregoing persons may have a financial interest in all companies and sectors mentioned on this website. Any projections, market outlooks or estimates herein are forward looking statements and are inherently unreliable., and any such statements are based upon certain assumptions and should not be construed to be indicative of the actual events that will occur.  Other events that were not taken into account may occur and may significantly affect the returns or performance of the securities or commodities discussed herein. The information provided herein is based on matters as they exist as of the date of preparation and not as of any future date, and The Oregon Group undertakes no obligation to correct, update or revise the information in this document or to otherwise provide any additional material. The information provided on this website is for informational purposes only and is not, directly or indirectly, an offer, solicitation of an offer and/or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or commodity, and the information provided on this website should not be construed as any advice or an opinion as to the price at which the securities of any company or commodity may trade at any time. The Oregon Group is a publisher of financial information, not an investment advisor.  We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice or information that is tailored to the needs of any particular recipient, and the information provided on this website is not and should not be construed as personal, financial, investment or professional advice. Readers are cautioned to always do their own research and review of publicly available information and to consult their professional and registered advisors before purchasing or selling any securities or commodities and should not rely on the information contained herein. Neither The Oregon Group nor any of its affiliates accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of the information contained herein. By using the Site or any affiliated social media account, you are indicating your consent and agreement to this disclaimer and our terms of use. Unauthorized reproduction of this newsletter or its contents by photocopy, facsimile or any other means is illegal and punishable by law.

Share this article

about the author

Picture of The Oregon Group

The Oregon Group

The Oregon Group is an investment research team focused on critical minerals, mining, energy and geopolitics.

Our Podcast

Tags

Subscribe Now

Subscribe and get market and industry trends delivered to you in real-time.

Recommended to Read NEXT

SUBSCRIBE FOR INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

Welcome to The Oregon Group, an investment research team focused on critical minerals, mining, energy and geopolitics.

Our independent capital markets experts are sharing their boardroom expertise and institutional experience to help you profit and hedge your investment exposure during this time of unmissable opportunity.